With the end of the
Republican convention everyone now knows the election strategy of Mitt
Romney. Mr. Romney’s convention
absolutely ignored the social issues that drive the modern Republican party,
and he refused to provide any details on his economic plans, his tax plans or
any other policy plans. The convention
concentrated on extolling the virtues of Mr. Romney’s life and the convention
did what it had to do, namely didn’t make any glaring mistakes.
So it is clear Mr.
Romney will run on a two part strategy. Part A is that Mr. Romney is not an evil,
nasty person (and he is not) and Part B, Mr. Romney is not Barack Obama (and
also something that he is not). Since
many voters, maybe a majority don’t want an evil nasty person and don’t want
Mr. Obama, this may well be a winning strategy.
It is certainly not something the mainstream press will challenge Mr.
Romney on.
For Mr. Obama, his
task at the Democratic convention will be to demonstrate and convince
voters why he should be given a second term.
This will not be easy, the rationale is just not that obvious. For example, Mr. Obama could claim that if
voters will re-elect him he will take on the Republicans in Congress and fight
them all the way. But voters want
effective co-operative government, they don’t want a battle, so that doesn’t
play very well.
The President could
argue that with a mandate from re-election he can work with the Republican
Congress to make legislative progress.
Given that Republicans are going to fight every action of the President
regardless of the cost to the country such a position would only elicit
laughter. Nobody would believe that.
Mr. Obama could argue
for health care reform, but nope, already done that. And any expensive policy initiatives are not
going to pass because of lack of GOP help and because there is no money to pay
for them. On foreign policy there are no real opportunities. The U. S.
can stay in Afghanistan
and court disaster or leave and court disaster.
It may be impossible to stop Iran from developing a nuclear
weapon without all out war, which is not exactly a platform that would endear
Mr. Obama to many voters other than John McCain and Lindsey Graham.
So the President is
reduced to arguing the social issues, the ones ignored by the Republicans
(until they gain power that is). He will
have to argue for protection for women’s rights, for the separation of church
and state, for the rights of all Americans including gays and lesbians and he
will have to argue that it is only his Presidency that stands between the nation
and a Republican theocracy.
Nope, not a
particularly winning strategy, but in fact it is all the President
has. Good luck Barack.
Obama has three advantages.
ReplyDelete1. Many Americans like him.
2. Many Americans, including Republicans, don't like Romney.
3. Nearly all Americans don't like Congress.
Obama's message, boiled down to two sentences, will be: I am on your side. Republicans aren't.
That might be enough.