Basic economics, that
is the kind practiced by real economists and not the kind invented by economists
trying to curry favor with a future Romney administration have recognized for
decades than economic activity is demand driven. This was the basic lesson of Keynes, and it
has been reaffirmed and accepted by countless of projects of academic research
since then. Supply side economics, its
supposed counterpart has been debunked by actual experience ever since the idea
was floated to justify conservative economic policy.
Now a new study
confirms that a major barrier to the economic recovery over the past
several years
has been the “good jobs deficit”, that is not the lack of creation of jobs
but the lack of creation of high paying jobs.
While a majority of
jobs lost during the downturn were in the middle range of wages, a majority of
those added during the recovery have been low paying, according to a new report
from the National Employment Law Project.
This is not political spin.
It is real data, the kind that rational people review and make decision
based upon.
Lower-wage
occupations, with median hourly wages of $7.69 to $13.83, accounted for 21
percent of job losses during the retraction. Since employment started
expanding, they have accounted for 58 percent of all job growth.
The
occupations with the fastest growth were retail sales (at a median wage of
$10.97 an hour) and food preparation workers ($9.04 an hour). Each category has
grown by more than 300,000 workers since June 2009.
Now this has both a micro aspect and a macro aspect. On the micro side, the loss of income can be
a severe economic hardship for those who replaced their higher paying job with
a lower paying one, or no paying job at all.
I
think I’ve been very resilient and resistant and optimistic, up until very
recently,” said Ellen Pinney, 56, who was dismissed from a $75,000-a-year job
in which she managed procurement and supply for an electronics company in March
2008.
Since
then, she has cobbled together a series of temporary jobs in retail and home
health care and worked as a part-time receptionist for a beauty salon. She is
now working as an unpaid intern for a construction company, putting together
bids and business plans for green energy projects, and has moved in with her
86-year-old father in Forked River ,
N.J.
“I
really can’t bear it anymore,” she said, noting that her applications to places
like PetSmart and Target had gone unanswered. “From every standpoint — my
independence, my sense of purposefulness, my self-esteem, my life planning —
this is just not what I was planning.”
At the macro level, the lack of growth of middle
income jobs and the replacement of high paying jobs with low paying jobs
sharply reduces consumer demand. This in
turn reduces business demand for employment, and the cycle continues, producing
lower economic growth.
The policy prescriptions are straight forward, higher
government spending to replace lower consumer spending until the economy rights
itself, along with government investment in infrastructure, which employs
people and makes businesses more productive (think New Orleans flood
protection, which created a large number of construction jobs and saved New
Orleans businesses from disaster).
But economics is now being held hostage to
politics. So instead of the right policy
there will be the right wing policy.
Giving Mr. Romney and his ilk a
multi million dollar tax cut will help how?
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