As the election season wears on one of the trends is that as voters pay more attention to the races, the parties and the candidates many Republicans, including the Presidential/Vice Presidential nominees don’t fare all that well. This is surprising since with the huge monetary advantage from outside spending they should have been able to shape voter perception that they are really nice people.
this is what Senate
candidate Linda McMahon has done with tens of millions in advertising, and for
that reason alone she has made herself competitive. But the attitude of Republicans is that of
bitterness, a failure to understand what is happening and an anger at those who
do not share their views. An
illustration of this is in Connecticut Pennsylvania
where Mr. Romney has
apparently conceded the state to Mr. Obama.
Both the Obama and Romney campaigns made significant investments in advertising in
. The pro-Romney super PAC,
Restore Our Future, and two conservative PACs, Crossroads GPS and Americans For
Prosperity, have together spent a total of $9.7 million; the Obama campaign and
its allied super PAC, Priorities USA Action, have spent $8 million. Pennsylvania
By the end of August, however, ad buying stopped. The Romney campaign effectively conceded the state.
Why can’t Republicans get traction here? Thomas Edsall, an astute political reporter for the New York Times went to the
and found this
reaction from rock ribbed Republicans. Lehigh
When I met Kevin Balzer, a Romney supporter who is a Mack Truck supervisor, I asked him why his state looks likely to back Obama. “People are stupid,” he said.
City and state officials, he went on,
“eliminated civics from our curriculum. The students don’t know about civics, they don’t know about our history, our government, our constitution. Politicians say they are going to give people things for free to get elected. That is what’s happening in
Pennsylvania, especially in .” Lehigh Valley
Balzer added that “the white guys got pushed out” of
and neighboring communities, in
part by a wave of Hispanic immigration. Balzer, who joined the exodus to areas
outside of Allentown, said he and others want to “get away from the whole
erosion of the country.” Allentown
And there is also this.
William L. Heydt, a Republican, held the mayor’s office in Allentown from 1990 to 2002, when he retired. He decided to run again in 2005. He only got 41 percent of the vote. Allentown voters, he told me, came to the polls “by the busload, pulled the D lever, and had no idea who they were voting for.” Many, Heydt said, “were Hispanic, a lot African American.”
This part of
is changing, Pennsylvania
Julio Guridy, a native of the Dominican Republic who is now chairman of the Allentown City Council, sees a growing, vibrant and, not least of all, Democratic city.
“We have seen an influx from
New York and , particularly
after 9/11. This is a very good place to live,” Guridy told me. “ New Jersey is a
wonderful place.” He is one of two Latinos on the six-member city council, all
of whom are Democrats, as is the mayor, Ed Pawlowski, the man who beat Heydt in
The hatred and prejudice expressed in the above comments will not make for happy voters, and no, voters are not stupid. They are smart enough to vote their interests and when they see a political party that condescends to them, they are not going to support that party.
Yes, pretty simple logic, but apparently not simple enough for the Republican party to understand, at least in
Pennsylvania. If Mr. Romney loses this election it will be
because he didn’t understand this part of political science.
The reason Romney has a strong, 13-point edge among all white working class voters, according to the P.R.R.I. findings, is that in the South his margin is huge. In the rest of the country, the white working class is much more closely divided.
Among southern working class whites, Romney leads by 40 points, 62-22, an extraordinary gap.
The story in the rest of the country is different. In the West, where
are battleground states, Romney leads by a modest 5 points, 46-41. In the
Northeast, which Obama is expected to sweep, except perhaps for Nevada , Romney
holds a 4-point advantage among working class whites, 42-38. In the Midwest,
where New Hampshire Ohio, Michigan
are in play, Obama actually leads among working class whites by 8 points