That’s Not News, Just a Reaffirmation
Three years ago some conservative economists and politicians
published a letter in the Wall Street Journal warning of dire consequences if
the Federal Reserve pursued a policy of purchasing bonds to keep interest rates
at near zero levels. And now economist
Barry Rithholtz has called
them on it and called the media to fault for not reporting their erroneous
prediction and concerns.
One
of my biggest complaints about the media is the lack of accountability. People
say things on TV in print an on radio, and then . . . Poof! No
consequences. They influence public perception of issues, affect policy
debates, drive legislation.
This
is a perfect example of a stern warning of currency debasement and inflation
due to QE. Let me point out this was made 3 years ago today — hence, it has
been terribly wrong.
And here is part of the truly egregiously wrong position of
these eminently wrong persons.
We believe the Federal Reserve’s large-scale asset purchase plan
(so-called “quantitative easing”) should be reconsidered and discontinued. We
do not believe such a plan is necessary or advisable under current
circumstances. The planned asset purchases risk currency debasement and
inflation, and we do not think they will achieve the Fed’s objective of promoting
employment.
Of course inflation has been about as close to zero as
possible, and the only debasement that has taken place is the debasement of the
discussion due to people like the signers of this letter taking positions which
are not justified by any basic economic theory or reality.
As for employment, well job growth from November 2010 until
this month has been from approximately 130.3 million employed to 136.5 million
employed. Yes that is over 6 million new jobs for those conservatives who signed the letter and cannot do actual math. It is correct that not all of
this growth has been the result of Fed policy, but the forecast that Fed policy
would not promote job growth is violently contradicted by reality. But of course facts, logic, statistic and
reality is known to have a conservative bias.
Those who signed this letter, which includes prominent and
well know conservative economists, conservative academics and conservative
politicians were just plain wrong. Of
course that is not unusual, which may be an explanation of why it is not
considered news.
Hi TDPE! This is Danny in BRLA and was composing a lengthy email but it disappeared and I'm too tired to start over. Suffice it to say, the bond vigilantes haven't come out after 5 years, as we've been screamed about! You're right as usual!
ReplyDeleteGracias
Danny