Those with an
interest in economics and fiscal policy have been following the experiment
in economic policy in Britain
with a fair degree of interest. There
the government has decided that reducing the deficit is the policy goal that
trumps all others, including economic growth, reducing unemployment, making
people’s lives better and the like. To
do this the government has enacted policies to cut spending and raise taxes on
working people, with the idea of what Paul Krugman calls the “confidence fairy”
will emerge and business confidence will stimulate business investment.
It hasn’t
worked. So now the government is
going to count
as its revenues the surplus that is generated by the Bank of England, the
central bank of Britain .
George Osborne has decided to grab the surpluses being built up under the Bank of England’s money-printing operations and use them as government revenue, making it easier for the chancellor to meet his rules on public finances.
None of this has
anything to do with real money, it is simply an accounting change to make
the deficit looks smaller. Why do they
need to do that?
With less than a month to go to the Autumn
Statement, where Mr Osborne will be forced to admit the economy and public
finances are in a dire state, the move will mitigate some of the damage.
And of course even
those involved admit there is no substance here. In fact it may make things worse later on.
That
surplus is likely to turn into a loss once the BoE starts to raise interest
rates and the Treasury’s move is to book the profits now and allow a future
government to pay for the losses later.
But for now the
Conservative government of Britain
can cover up their policy failures. Isn’t
that the goal here? And yes, the
opposition Labour party would have done the same when they were in power, they
just were not clever enough to think of it.
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