The second Presidential debate did one thing for Mr. Obama, it stopped the momentum towards Mr. Romney. But it did not reverse it, and now state polls are showing the
is probably lost to the Obama camp, Florida is
likely lost and Ohio
is trending towards a tie, which means it is moving towards, not away from Mr.
So the guaranteed electoral college forecast still looks like this.
with Mr. Obama still needing to pick up 27 electoral votes. He can do so by adding
Ohio and Wisconsin to
his list, or leave Ohio alone and get Wisconsin, New Hampshire
and Virginia. But if Pennsylvania or Michigan start to go away you can stick a fork into the Obama campaign, it's done.
The problem is that Mr. Obama made Mr. Romney a credible candidate in the first debate, and that can only be reversed by a stupid mistake by Mr. Romney. And the clock is running and the game is almost over, not a lot of time to make that mistake.
Finally notice what happens if Mr. Obama gets
New Hampshire, Colorado
and Virginia. Not pretty picture.