With what is called
the ‘fiscal cliff’ fast approaching we now turn our attention to
taxes. On January 1 unless Congress and
the President act all of the Bush era tax cuts will expire. The Democratic position is to make the cuts
permanent except for those making more than $250k. The Republican position is to make all of
them permanent because, otherwise the government is being very mean to rich
people.
Also expiring on
December 31 is the temporary cut in payroll taxes. These are taxes that working people (ie not
Mitt Romney) pay to finance Social Security and Medicare. These tax cuts will
not be extended.
Regardless of
who wins the presidential election in November or what compromises Congress
strikes in the lame-duck session to keep the economy from automatic tax
increases and spending cuts, 160 million American wage earners will probably
see their tax bills jump after Jan. 1.
That is when the
temporary payroll tax holiday
ends. Its expiration means less income in families’ pocketbooks — the tax
increase would be about $95 billion in 2013 alone — at a time when the economy
is little better than it was when the White House reached a deal on the tax
break last year.
Now from an economics point of view, this is not that
bad. Payroll tax cuts are a terrible way
to stimulate the economy, they just dribble out very little money and because
of something called the Permanent Income Hypothesis they really do not increase
consumer spending very much, which is the key to a successful tax cut.
But on the fairness issue allowing these tax cuts to expire
while continuing the tax cuts for the very wealthy is just plain wrong. And of course the tax cuts for those making
more than $250k will be extended even if Mr. Obama is re-elected. Why, because Republicans will be willing to drive
the economy off the fiscal cliff, but Mr. Obama and the Democrats will not.
Yep, based on history the Dems will cave, in fact the Dems might not even be a viable American political party. Maybe they will move to the Philippines and the new name of the party after that could be the Manila Folders.
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