Major economists have
a lot of difficulty accepting the fact that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben
Bernanke has run out of ammunition in his efforts to strengthen the economic
recovery. Paul Krugman, who probably knows this but is desperate for somebody to do something says
this.
July 18, 2012, 9:30 AM
The Feckless Fed
Hmm. When I published a critique of Ben Bernanke’s recent performance, suggesting
that he should reread his own critiques of the Bank of Japan, there were a fair
number of people saying that I was just a big meanie.
But my sense is that his latest testimony, in which he declared that
the Fed has the power to take action, that the economy is in really bad shape,
but declined to, you know, actually take action, has left even his usual
defenders more or less speechless.
It really makes no
sense — except in terms of politics. I really believe that we have reached a
point where the Fed is afraid to do its job, for fear of being accused of
helping Obama.
Mr. Krugman may be
right about the Fed being afraid of Republicans, but the problem is that
the Fed has simply no options
available to it. It has made interest
rates so low that any additional lowering just has no effect. If business will not borrow to invest when their rates are 3%, they will not borrow and invest just because their rates have dropped
to 2.5%. Low rates are a necessary but
not sufficient condition for higher economic growth.
House Republicans are
terrified though that Mr. Bernanke and the Fed might aid the economy even a
little, which although it would be great for the country would be bad for
Republicans. So they are telling
the Fed not to act, not to do anything to aid ordinary Americans.
Mr. Bernanke avoided any commitments to additional action during
two days of Congressional testimony, but he told a Senate committee on Tuesday
that the Fed was prepared to act if it concluded that job growth had stalled.
Republicans on the House Financial Services Committee, which hosted Mr.
Bernanke on Wednesday, wasted little time in responding.
“The truth is, the
Federal Reserve cannot rescue Americans from the consequences of failed
economic and regulatory policies passed by Congress and signed by the
president,” the committee chairman, Representative Spencer Bachus of Alabama,
said in his opening statement.
Other Republicans
cautioned that an expansion of the Fed’s existing efforts could deepen the
nation’s financial challenges by postponing a necessary reckoning and
eventually accelerating the pace of inflation.
Of course, there is no fear of inflation, in fact
higher inflation would be a good thing right now as it would boost nominal
income, weaken the dollar to stimulate exports and represent increased demand
for goods and services leading to higher investment. This is just a cover, Republicans are deathly
afraid an improving economy will hurt their chances in November.
And of course if you are a Republican, election politics is
all that counts. If Americans have to
suffer higher unemployment and lower economic growth to further Republican
political ambitions, well that’s just too bad isn’t it. After all members of Congress have a salary
many times the median family income, a great retirement plan and oh yes,
government provided and subsidized health care.
Staying in office, that’s all that’s important to them.
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