Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Is Nate Silver the Best Ever?

Take a Look at His Florida Numbers

This Forum has already discussed the incredible accuracy of the political forecasting of Nate Silver.

Here is his projections a day before the Florida primary.

The shift away from Newt Gingrich in the Florida polls has been as significant as the one toward him in South Carolina. The first two polls released after South Carolina showed Mr. Gingrich with a lead of 8 and 9 points, respectively. But the news has gotten worse for him almost every day, and he trails Mitt Romney by nearly 15 points in the final FiveThirtyEight forecastof the Florida primary.

Yeah, the totals are a little off, but the 15% point spread is about as dead on as a projection can get.  Here is Mr. Silver before the voting in Florida. 

Kinda makes all of us wonder why they even bother to have the election or count the votes, doesn’t it.

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