The WSJ Opinion Section – Going From Just Partly Right to
Totally Wrong
We are not sure why
Conservatives hate the Federal Reserve System so much. In the current case it may be that they are
afraid monetary policy will create sufficient economic growth so that voters
will not return Republicans to the White House.
In any event, they have now become so desperate that they have employed
a former Treasury official in the Reagan Administration to set out a bunch of
lies about monetary policy. (Sorry about
the ‘lies’ thing, but there is not other way to put it.)
A gentleman by the
name of David Malpass writes
this in the Wall Street Journal opinion section. After (correctly) documenting the weakness of
the recovery Mr. Malpass claims to have found the culprits, expansionary
policy.
The
disastrous state of affairs was rationalized as a "new normal"
following the Great Recession, but the reality is that poor policy choices hurt
growth. Tax-and-spend policies sapped investment, and the Fed's low rates and
bond purchases damaged markets, hurt savers and channeled credit to the
government at the expense of job creators. It's a zero-sum process that should
be stopped because of the bad effect on growth and jobs.
Okay, let’s skip over the obvious errors here and go
to the big one, that the Fed has somehow taken money that the private sector
wanted to use for investment and given it to the government. Here is the argument in more detail.
The Fed's intention is that the low bond rates
it provides the government will spill over to big corporations and banks, who
in turn will help the little guy. This trickle-down monetary policy has
contributed to very fast growth in corporate profits, part of the explanation
for the record stock market, but also to weak GDP growth and declining
middle-class incomes. The extra credit the Fed channeled to government and big
corporations meant less credit elsewhere in the economy, a contractionary
influence since most new jobs come from small businesses.
As every student in Econ 101 knows, this is just
plain false. The money supply is
elastic, and there is absolutely no way that the Fed has restricted supply of
funds to the private sector. In fact the
system is awash in bank reserves. Banks
will simply not lend to private companies because banks are afraid their low
capital levels cannot support the added loans on the balance sheet. This is a supply problem in part. Small business and consumers want credit, but the
banks simply will not supply it even though they have the funds to do so. This is what happens in a recession that
includes a breakdown of the financial system.
As for the level of cash balances, large businesses
are awash in cash. The problem here is
also a demand problem, because of a poorly defined stimulus program that was
too short and too weak, private demand is simply not high enough to generate
high growth. But as far as the Fed is
concerned, it has done the right thing and it has done as much of it as it
can. The limitations of monetary policy,
not the policy itself is the problem here.
So what we have in the WSJ opinion section is an
essay that if it were handed in to the teachers in a high school economics
class would receive an F. As for the
WSJ, when the truth does not fit their prejudices, print the myth. And if people like Mr. Malpass ever get back
into power and raise interest rates drastically, which sounds like what they
want to do, well kiss the weak recovery goodbye. United States, meet Spain .
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