The numbers are grim.
The economy is in deep recession. In the first three months of the year GDP
shrank for a seventh quarter in a row. The public finances remain stretched,
with the budget deficit at 7% of GDP. Bond yields have fallen, but the credit
crunch for small firms is worsening. Corporate bankruptcies are running at ten
times pre-crisis levels. And unemployment is at a record 27%.
Wow, and the
problem of unemployment
among young people is of epidemic proportions.
JOSÉ GARCIA used to work as a
doorman. But two years ago he lost his job. Since then the 62-year-old has
lived off unemployment insurance built up when he was working. This month it
runs out. Now he hopes for €426 ($550) a month in long-term state subsidy. With
unemployment above 27%, he does not expect to work again. “I’ll keep looking,
but the queue will always be long,” he says.
The jobless rate is unlikely to drop below 25% before he claims
his pension at 65. The prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, hopes to turn the jobs
corner before the next election in late 2015, but his record so far is dismal.
Over the past 17 months 1.2m jobs have gone, taking the total lost since 2007
to over 6m. Net job growth needs GDP growth above 1%, yet the government does
not predict that until 2016. In the European Union only Greece ’s
jobless figures are worse. And in southern provinces such as Cadiz the rate is above 40%. Among under-25s,
the figure is a horrific 57%.
Nice going Europe . You now have firstly established the first massive recession that
is totally man made and was totally preventable.
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