Harvard’s $35 billion endowment loses 2.2% when S&P Rose
4%
One of the great myths of American Finance is that there are
a bunch of really smart people out there who can consistently beat the
market. This is not true for two
reasons. The first is that the random
nature of markets is such that consistently beating them is very difficult, and
the second is that the fees these so called smart people charge mans that in
order just to tie the market they need to beat the market.
So it is no surprise that Harvard with its huge number of
very highly paid investment folks did
terrible in 2016.
Harvard said its investments
declined by 2 percent, and its endowment total
dropped by $2 billion because of the investment losses and spending. Harvard is
now shaking
up its endowment management.
What about Yale. Well
a lot better but still below the market average.
Yale did much better than
many of its peers, gaining
3.4 percent. But that still lagged the 4 percent return over
the same period for the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index and wasn’t enough
to offset spending. Yale’s total endowment dropped by $200 million, to $25.4 billion.
So who was the big winner?
Why Houghton
College of course.
Compare the results with those of Houghton College, a liberal arts institution
affiliated with the Wesleyan Church in the Genesee
Valley in western New York . Houghton has just over a thousand
students and an endowment of $46.4 million.
Houghton emerged in the top quartile
of all endowments, according to Nacubo, with a return of 11.85 percent for the
year ended Sept. 30. (Houghton uses a different fiscal year.) For the calendar
year, the results were also impressive, at 7.54 percent. Houghton has been able
to lower its spending rate — the amount it withdraws each year to fund
operations — to an enviable 4.5 percent, and may be able to lower it further,
to 4 percent.
And how did hey do it?
Simple
The answer is pretty simple: Houghton
got out of hedge funds and all alternative investments a year and a half ago,
and moved the entire portfolio to a mix of low-cost index funds and mutual funds at
the fund giant Vanguard.
Houghton’s endowment is now invested in
a simple mix of 76 percent in stocks, evenly divided between United States and
foreign, and 24 percent in fixed income, according to Vincent Morris, who joined Houghton last year as its vice president for finance
after a stint in risk management at the insurance broker Arthur J. Gallagher.
Roughly half the endowment is in low-cost index funds, and the rest is in
actively managed mutual funds.
See this person paid attention in college.
Houghton’s investment committee met
this week, and is likely to move even further from active management, Mr.
Morris said. “I went to the University
of Chicago , where I sat
in a lot of investment classes,” he told me. He learned how difficult it was
for active managers to outperform market averages, “especially year after
year,” he said, adding, “I’m a big believer in passive investment.”
As for hedge funds and other
high-cost alternatives, “the whole two-and-20 model” — in which investors
typically pay 2 percent of assets under management and 20 percent of any gains
— “is ridiculous,” Mr. Morris said. “The cost structure is outrageous. As they
say on Wall Street, ‘Where are the customers’ yachts?’ I’m not going to play
that game.”