Fed Ex to Europe : Where Do You Want the Fig Leaves Delivered?
Here is the headline
in the Financial Times after Spain
agreed to accept a $125 billion bank bailout from Europe
Last updated: June 10, 2012 8:24 pm
Rajoy presents Spain
bailout as ‘victory’
Wow, here everyone
else thought that after denying for weeks that Spain
would need any help for its banks from Europe
the fact that they are now asking for the paltry sum of $125 billion might not
be classified as a ‘victory.
In announcing the victory Spanish Prime Minister Mariano
Rajoy said this.
Prime Minister Rajoy - The Face of Victory |
"This year is
going to be a bad one: Growth is going to be negative by 1.7%, and also
unemployment is going to increase."
Maybe the term “victory” means something different in
Spanish than it does in English.
It seems that Spain ’s right
wing government also has trouble with the meaning of the world “bailout”
Members
of Mr Rajoy’s centre-right government have repeatedly denied that the EU aid
agreed at the weekend is a “bailout” or a “rescue”, arguing that such a
programme would have been necessary only if they had not introduced radical
fiscal, labour market and financial sector reforms since taking office in
December.
“If
we hadn’t done this in these past five months, what was put forward yesterday
would have been a bailout of the Kingdom
of Spain ,” Mr Rajoy said
on Sunday. “Because we had been doing our homework for five months, what did
happen yesterday, what was agreed, was the opening of a line of credit for our
financial system.”
Okay, let’s all
understand what has happened here.
Spanish bank, indeed the entire Spanish banking system was about to
collapse. This was due to bad real
estate loans left over from the country’s real estate bubble. Furthermore, Spanish banks are the only one’s
willing to lend the government money, so Spain ’s entire economy was about to
do what might be called a “Greek Revival”.
So the regulation of the Spanish banks is now about to become a European
matter.
But
the new loans, expected to be negotiated before the end of the month, will not
be condition-free. Olli Rehn, the EU’s top economic official, made clear on
Sunday that it would be the European Commission and other international
experts, and not the Spanish government, that would decide how much Spain ’s
banks need.
In
addition, the commission is expected to impose tough new measures on Spain ’s
financial sector overhaul, which some officials believe has gone too slowly and
only contributed to market uncertainly. “Spain has been the epicentre of the
market turbulence recently,” Mr Rehn said yesterday.
And because the new
loans will jump to the front of the line in terms of credit protection, it
may be that Spain ’s
fiscal situation will be even worse than before, assuming that is possible.
Despite
enthusiastic support for the plan from EU leaders, it remains uncertain whether
it will relieve the pressure on the Spanish government. The bailout loans will
be funnelled through the government’s books, potentially adding as much as 20
per cent to Spain ’s
sovereign debt, which could spook financial markets.
Eurozone
leaders did not specify whether the money would come from the current €440bn
rescue fund, the European Financial Stability Facility, or the new €500bn fund,
the European Stability Mechanism, which is due to go into force next month.
Under the terms of the ESM treaty, loans from the ESM take priority over all
private sector debt, which could spook potential buyers of Spanish sovereign
debt.
Translation: The Spanish banks will use the new
capital to buy Spanish government bonds.
The will then use those bonds as collateral to borrow money from the
European Central Bank. Part of what is going on here is the ECB bailing out
failed policies of both the right and the left in Spain, but no one will ever
admit that, so disregard the fact that you heard it here.
Okay, everybody gets to exhale a sigh of relief, but
only for a few days. On Sunday the
Greeks vote on whether or not to accept the European imposed austerity plan and
destroy their economy, or to reject the plan, leave the Euro and the Euro Zone
and destroy their economy. Anybody wondering
what the result will be?
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