Are You Listening America ? - No,
Didn’t Think So
In its lead cover
story The Economist talks
about what they call the third industrial revolution. What they identify is really the fourth
industrial revolution. The first was
conversion of the textile and clothing industry to factory sourcing, the second
was the development of large capital goods industries like steel and rail and
oil, and the third was the change in manufacturing from capital goods to
consumer durable goods like auto’s, home appliances and homes themselves.
The fourth stage (or
third, whatever) is the emergence of digital manufacturing processes. The heart of the digital manufacturing
revolution is 3-D printing. It can be
described this way.
The
old way of making things involved taking lots of parts and screwing or welding
them together. Now a product can be designed on a computer and “printed” on a
3D printer, which creates a solid object by building up successive layers of
material. The digital design can be tweaked with a few mouseclicks. The 3D printer
can run unattended, and can make many things which are too complex for a
traditional factory to handle. In time, these amazing machines may be able to
make almost anything, anywhere—from your garage to an African village.
What this means is
that mass production of standardized items is giving way to production of
very small quantities of customized items.
Want a refrigerator that is builtg to your specifications, just get the specs to the manufacturer, and the digital manufacturer will make a one of a kind
refrigerator for you at the same or lower cost than a mass produced model.
An engineer working in
the middle of a desert who finds he lacks a certain tool no longer has to have
it delivered from the nearest city. He can simply download the design and print
it. The days when projects ground to a halt for want of a piece of kit, or when
customers complained that they could no longer find spare parts for things they
had bought, will one day seem quaint.
The key to utilizing
this technology will be highly trained technically skilled labor.
Most
jobs will not be on the factory floor but in the offices nearby, which will be
full of designers, engineers, IT specialists, logistics experts, marketing
staff and other professionals. The manufacturing jobs of the future will
require more skills. Many dull, repetitive tasks will become obsolete: you no
longer need riveters when a product has no rivets.
and there’s the problem.
In the United States
this training and education can only come from government support of public
education. The idea that private, and in
some cases for-profit schools, or church sponsored schools whose mission is religious indoctrination
rather than science and engineering can meet the challenges of providing a
population with the needed skills and training is pure fantasy. But the United States, under the spell of greed
for lower taxes and under the influence of ignorance that places religious myths
over scientific facts will not have the education system to produce a world
class work force for the future.
In 2050 if the current political mood becomes
dominant in government, the U.
S. will look back with a “what might have
been” outlook, and wonder why the people who severely weakened the strongest economy
the world has ever seen were ever elected.
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