Nothing of significance
in economics is either all good or all bad.
That’s what makes the subject so interesting and difficult. The recent surge in natural gas production has been both good and bad. The bad is
the potential environmental problems caused by ‘fracking’ to free up the
gas. The good is the huge drop in
natural gas prices, resulting in lower cost energy and a movement towards less
reliance on foreign oil. Natural gas is
also far less polluting both in its development and consumption than oil or
coal.
Economics of natural gas and better
environmental regulation are working in tandem to sharply
reduce the number of coal fired electrical plants.
Coal and electric
utilities, long allied, are beginning to split. More than 100 of the 500 or so
coal-burning power plants in the United States are expected to be
shut down in the next few years. While coal still provides about a third of the
nation’s power, just four years ago it was providing nearly half.
The decline is largely
because new pollution rules have made coal plants more costly, while a surge in
production of natural gas through the process of hydraulic fracturing, known as
fracking, has sent gas prices plummeting. Together, the economics of coal have
been transformed after a century of dominance in Washington, state capitals and
the board rooms of electric utilities.
This of course is very good. But it is potentially disastrous for the coal
producing regions of the United
States , and of course that gets a politician
involved.
when
the operator of the Big Sandy plant announced
last year that it would be switching from coal to cleaner, cheaper natural gas,
people here took it as the worst betrayal imaginable.
“Have
you lost your mind?” State Representative Rocky Adkins, a Democrat and one of
Kentucky’s most powerful politicians, thundered at Michael G. Morris, the
chairman of the plant’s operator, American Electric Power, during an encounter last summer.
“You cannot wave the white flag and let the environmentalists and regulators
declare victory here in the heart of coal country.”
It is of course a private company’s right to do what
is best for the company, which is exactly what is going on here. And this is not a victory for environmentalists and regulators; both groups have been somewhat ineffective in battling coal fired pollution. The victory is economics; economics almost always wins.
“The
math screams at you to do gas,” said Mr. Morris, whose company is the nation’s
largest consumer of coal.
And the image of a politician screaming at an
industry executive for converting a plant from coal to natural gas is
disturbing. But there is the point that
change is almost always detrimental to some people, and that is certainly the
situation here. People of the
Appalachian coal country are poor to begin with; the decline of coal will be a
devastating economic blow to them without some help and intervention by
government.
But government help in the form of mandating or
supporting more rather than less coal generation of electricity is not the
answer. That will only cause more
pollution, higher energy prices and in the end such a policy will fail. It is going against history.
Here
in Kentucky , the intervention by Mr. Adkins
and other coal industry advocates has saved coal at Big Sandy , at least temporarily. American
Electric Power, which is based in Columbus, Ohio, is proposing a $1 billion
retrofit to allow the plant to continue burning coal and has asked Kentucky regulators to
approve a 30 percent increase in electricity rates to pay for the work.
Yes, how does increasing the price of electricity by
30% and spending/wasting $1 billion on a
retrofit help anyone in the long run?
But that’s the way politicians think.
Here’s what proponents of coal want to keep.
The
Big Sandy plant spews tens of thousands of
tons of pollutants each year into the region’s air, including sulfur dioxide
and smaller amounts of mercury, which can cause health problems like
respiratory illnesses and possibly developmental disabilities among children.
Many of these pollutants would be significantly reduced with the retrofit, but
the plant would continue to be a major source of carbon dioxide, which is
blamed for global warming.
Big
Sandy also
maintains a sprawling coal ash pit near the plant, created to store waste ash
after the coal is burned, that the E.P.A. recently listed as one of 45 “high
hazard” pits nationwide. That means it “will probably cause loss of human
life,” the E.P.A. says, if a serious accident occurs. In Tennessee in 2008, a billion gallons of
slurry from a coal ash pit washed out area homes and streams, though no deaths
resulted.
Instead of this idiocy an
enlightened and compassionate policy would be to move the economic base of
the area away from coal and towards industries which can provide economic development
without polluting the water, air and ground.
As for Mr. Romney, well, we all know where he stands.
The
fight has even become an issue in the presidential campaign, with the industry
blaming President Obama and the
Environmental Protection Agency for the onslaught, and Mitt Romney, the presumptive
Republican nominee, hinting that he would roll back some of the rules.
See, none of his homes in Massachusetts ,
New Hampshire , Utah ,
California
(with its garage with elevators for his cars) or elsewhere would be near the death and
destruction caused by mining and burning of coal.
And if votes are to gathered from his pandering, that’s even better.
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